The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Darja Vidmanova

● quote 74 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $335.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $218.5KEvent: The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Darja Vidmanova
69.5¢
YES
30.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection32Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets10Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority52Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 67%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:84 trades$21.8K trackedsource coverage 10%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 82 min agoofficial metadata 79 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $1.1K·3 wallets·$7.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKristina Liutova (YES)$9.8K@ 29¢·0x5f65…2036

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$6.9K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$6.9K
6h
+$12.9K
tracked
$21.8K

3 verified profitable wallets: −$1.1K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 67% · priority 52

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Executable quote is 74 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 82 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 79 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-09 17:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kristina Liutova and Darja Vidmanova in the The Memphis Classic, originally scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kristina Liutova' if Kristina Liutova advances against Darja Vidmanova. This market will resolve to 'Darja Vidmanova' if Darja Vidmanova advances against Kristina Liutova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $43.7K$47.1K · 20s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$6.9K
6h+$12.9K
24h+$12.9K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current69.5¢
VWAP 24h35.6¢▲ above by 33.9pp
VWAP 7d35.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$6
70¢
$40
65¢
← now
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$4.5K
50¢
$0
45¢
$650
40¢
$77
35¢
$0
30¢
$6.1K
25¢
$10.1K
20¢
$299
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity