Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

● quote 71 min ago
SportsCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $172.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $811.1KEvent: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
36.5¢
YES
63.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection22Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority72Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 67%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:130 trades$78.8K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 10%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 79 min agoofficial metadata 76 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$23.6K·6 wallets(1🐋)·$23.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArizona Diamondbacks (NO)$28.2K@ 37¢·0x5e94…5ba1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$17.0K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$17.0K
6h
+$36.8K
tracked
$78.8K

6 verified profitable wallets: +$23.6K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 67% · priority 72

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Executable quote is 71 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 79 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 76 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-15 01:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for August 7 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $32.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Arizona Diamondbacks@ 38.0¢16h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp
Latest book event: NO UP 7.5pp · near-book depth $31$941 · 2s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$17.0K
6h+$36.8K
24h+$8.7K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current36.5¢
VWAP 24h57.4¢▼ below by 20.9pp
VWAP 7d57.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$49.2K
55¢
$41
50¢
$278
45¢
$108
40¢
$0
35¢
← now
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (YES)$12.4K@ 62.0¢0xf958…db13🐋about 7 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks (NO)$28.2K@ 37.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋about 16 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5e94…5ba1Arizona Diamondbacks$28.2K
BUY VWAP 37.0¢·1 fill
0xf958…db13Los Angeles Dodgers$12.4K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.