Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?

● quote just now

Crypto→Closes: 2 daysLiquidity: $45.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $71.3KEvent: What price will Ethereum hit in August?

8.8¢

YES

91.1¢

0.3¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection90Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution88Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 66%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:24 trades$3.4K trackedsource coverage 5%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 29 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES · $9.1K net·5 wallets·$22.5K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$8.4K@ 84¢·JnStrtPrdctnMrkts

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

NO pressure: $3.1K net directional flow in 1h.

−$3.1K

−$3.3K

tracked

$3.4K

5 verified profitable wallets: YES · $9.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.3¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 66% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Observed tape is 29 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-09-01 04:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: Not supplied by the market

Outcome meaning

•This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Read full resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

JnStrtPrdctnMrkts7 linked markets · $198.1K gross

olegs6 linked markets · $77.5K gross

0330330334 linked markets · $69.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY YES@ 69.2¢6d ago

15m INVALIDATED -5.6pp1h INVALIDATED -13.4pp6h INVALIDATED -7.2pp24h INVALIDATED -14.9pp

LARGE FLOWBUY YES@ 80.2¢8d ago

15m INVALIDATED -4.8pp1h INVALIDATED -8.2pp6h INVALIDATED -29.4pp24h INVALIDATED -36.6pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hNO · $3.1K

6hNO · $3.3K

24hNO · $3.3K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current8.8¢

VWAP 24h8.9¢▼ below by 0.1pp

VWAP 7d51.4¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

$17.4K

75¢

$4.3K

70¢

$7.0K

65¢

$21.9K

60¢

$3.5K

55¢

$7.2K

50¢

$5.2K

45¢

$4.9K

40¢

$2.4K

35¢

$84

30¢

$490

25¢

20¢

15¢

$10.6K

10¢

$1.6K

5¢

← now

$3.6K

0¢

$3.0K

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago

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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now

No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

JnStrtPrdctnMrktsYes$15.7K

BUY VWAP 67.6¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.