Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges

● quote 75 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: 8 daysLiquidity: $126.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $528.8KEvent: Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borges
32.0¢
YES
68.0¢
NO
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly8Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets95Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution79Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 66%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:136 trades$25.1K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 5%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 83 min agoofficial metadata 80 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $12.4K·3 wallets(1🐋)·$13.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNuno Borges (NO)$12.7K@ 68¢·SineNooneEI

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$4.9K
tracked
$25.1K

3 verified profitable wallets: −$12.4K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 66% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Executable quote is 75 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 83 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 80 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-10 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Kovacevic and Nuno Borges in the Canadian Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Kovacevic' if Aleksandar Kovacevic advances against Nuno Borges. This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno Borges advances against Aleksandar Kovacevic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $4.9K$106.1K · 24s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$0
6h$4.9K
24h$17.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current32.0¢
VWAP 24h36.2¢▼ below by 4.2pp
VWAP 7d36.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$4
55¢
$271
50¢
$855
45¢
$4.8K
40¢
$0
35¢
$701
30¢
← now
$17.6K
25¢
$812
20¢
$38
15¢
$8
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYNuno Borges (NO)$12.7K@ 68.0¢
SineNooneEI0x3833…33d1
🐋about 10 hours ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SineNooneEINuno Borges$12.7K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.