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LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

● quote 586 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 8 hoursLiquidity: $1.2MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.4MEvent: LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly6Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:220 trades$108.6K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 8%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 616 min agoofficial metadata 487 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$20.8K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$20.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDplus KIA (YES)$29.8K@ 50¢·0xf751…fec8

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$205
6h
+$49.6K
tracked
$108.6K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$20.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 586 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 616 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 487 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-06 16:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA and T1 in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 6 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 2 against T1. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 2 against Dplus KIA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 8h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
esportGG2 linked markets · $35.7K gross
retroactivesource2 linked markets · $12.0K gross
0x10ef…7d7b3 linked markets · $7.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Dplus KIA@ 49.0¢14h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -45.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES DOWN 8.0pp · near-book depth $98 → $276 · 3s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$205
6h+$49.6K
24h+$49.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h38.6¢▼ below by 38.6pp
VWAP 7d38.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.1K
50¢
$41.9K
45¢
$24.6K
40¢
$3.3K
35¢
$16.1K
30¢
$1.6K
25¢
$180
20¢
$706
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$19.2K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYDplus KIA (YES)$20.7K@ 49.2¢
esportGG0xf070…ac55
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA (YES)$29.8K@ 50.4¢0xf751…fec8🐋—about 14 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf751…fec8Dplus KIA$29.8K
BUY VWAP 50.4¢·1 fill
esportGGDplus KIA$20.7K
BUY VWAP 49.2¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.