Valorant: BBL Esports vs Pcific Esports - Map 1 Winner

● quote 140 min ago
SportsCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $230.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $353.2KEvent: Valorant: BBL Esports vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly2Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:40 trades$54.2K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 15%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 174 min agoofficial metadata 140 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBBL Esports (YES)$28.2K@ 50¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$27
6h
+$48.1K
tracked
$54.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$49.1K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Since latest deadline positioning: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 140 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 174 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 140 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-02 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant match between BBL Esports and Pcific Esports in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for August 2 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BBL Esports" if BBL Esports win Map 1 against Pcific Esports. This market will resolve to "Pcific Esports" if Pcific Esports win Map 1 against BBL Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $68.9K gross
0x86df…d9023 linked markets · $5.4K gross
0x3fcc…9f912 linked markets · $377 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY BBL Esports@ 100.0¢4h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY BBL Esports@ 97.0¢4h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $8.6K$2.5K · 78s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$27
6h+$48.1K
24h+$48.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h67.0¢▲ above by 32.9pp
VWAP 7d67.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.8K
90¢
$17
85¢
$20.9K
80¢
$0
75¢
$26
70¢
$1.3K
65¢
$967
60¢
$357
55¢
$562
50¢
$28.2K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYBBL Esports (YES)$20.9K@ 87.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋about 5 hours ago
BUYBBL Esports (YES)$28.2K@ 50.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563BBL Esports$49.1K
BUY VWAP 61.1¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.