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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen

UncategorizedCloses: 16 daysLiquidity: $1.3MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.5MEvent: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen
99.9¢
Taylor Fritz
0.1¢
Alex Michelsen
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlex Michelsen$27.0K@ 38¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read paused

Market status is CLOSED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

CLOSED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
CLOSED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-07 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Alex Michelsen in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Alex Michelsen. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Taylor Fritz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Taylor Fritz23d ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGEBUY Taylor Fritz@ 64.0¢23d ago
15m INVALIDATED -9.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
Execution status
Market closed · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Taylor Fritz; negative values favor Alex Michelsen. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlex Michelsen · $39.7K
6hAlex Michelsen · $77.1K
24hAlex Michelsen · $77.1K

Taylor Fritz price VWAP

Volume-weighted Taylor Fritz price. Alex Michelsen fills are converted to the complementary Taylor Fritz probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h64.3¢▲ above by 35.6pp
VWAP 7d64.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Taylor Fritz price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$11.4K
90¢
$2.1K
85¢
$3.6K
80¢
$206
75¢
$48
70¢
$14.1K
65¢
$44.8K
60¢
$39.4K
55¢
$3.4K
50¢
$389
45¢
$9.1K
40¢
$120
35¢
$3.4K
30¢
$12.1K
25¢
$14
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAlex Michelsen$27.0K@ 38.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—23 days ago
BUYAlex Michelsen$12.0K@ 29.6¢0x7d6d…2654🐋—23 days ago
BUYAlex Michelsen$19.0K@ 30.8¢0x7d6d…2654🐋—23 days ago
BUYTaylor Fritz$11.2K@ 69.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—23 days ago
BUYAlex Michelsen$10.0K@ 33.8¢0x5f65…2036🐋—23 days ago