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Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti

UncategorizedCloses: 16 daysLiquidity: $413.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.3MEvent: Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti
99.9¢
Rafael Jodar
1.0¢
Lorenzo Musetti
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLorenzo Musetti$18.9K@ 40¢·0x27c5…6d61

Decision read paused

Market status is CLOSED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

CLOSED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
CLOSED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-07 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Lorenzo Musetti in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Lorenzo Musetti. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Lorenzo Musetti23d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Lorenzo Musetti@ 44.0¢23d ago
15m CONFIRMED +20.0pp1h INVALIDATED -6.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
Execution status
Market closed · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Rafael Jodar; negative values favor Lorenzo Musetti. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRafael Jodar · $2.9K
6hLorenzo Musetti · $43.5K
24hLorenzo Musetti · $43.5K

Rafael Jodar price VWAP

Volume-weighted Rafael Jodar price. Lorenzo Musetti fills are converted to the complementary Rafael Jodar probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h55.8¢▲ above by 44.1pp
VWAP 7d55.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Rafael Jodar price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$8.0K
90¢
$394
85¢
$32
80¢
$71
75¢
$2.3K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$26.9K
55¢
$35.2K
50¢
$15.0K
45¢
$16.9K
40¢
$4.4K
35¢
$10.8K
30¢
$0
25¢
$128
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLorenzo Musetti$18.9K@ 40.4¢0x27c5…6d61🐋—23 days ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$14.7K@ 39.6¢0x27c5…6d61🐋—23 days ago
BUYRafael Jodar$12.9K@ 46.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—23 days ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$11.6K@ 45.8¢0x27c5…6d61🐋—23 days ago
BUYLorenzo Musetti$15.0K@ 43.3¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋—23 days ago