PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies

● quote 259 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $452.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $104.9KEvent: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies
61.5¢
YES
38.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:2 trades$51.5K tracked100% 🐋source coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 322 min agoofficial metadata 261 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTampa Bay Rays (YES)$38.6K@ 60¢·texaskid

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$51.5K
tracked
$51.5K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$12.9K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 259 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 322 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 261 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-12 00:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for August 4 at 8:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Tampa Bay Rays@ 62.0¢4h ago
Outcome checks pending

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h+$51.5K
24h+$51.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current61.5¢
VWAP 24h59.8¢▲ above by 1.7pp
VWAP 7d59.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
← now
$38.6K
55¢
$12.9K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYTampa Bay Rays (YES)$38.6K@ 60.0¢
texaskid0xc807…c12b
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays (YES)$12.9K@ 59.1¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 6 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier
0.1¢$888.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$695.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$633.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$540.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$506.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$408.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$338.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

texaskidTampa Bay Rays$38.6K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Tampa Bay Rays$12.9K
BUY VWAP 59.1¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.