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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs

● quote 10748 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 14 hoursLiquidity: $384.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $594.0KEvent: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly17Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 69%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$86.6K·3 wallets(1🐋)·$86.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (YES)$66.9K@ 54¢·Djdjdjekekek

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$276
6h
+$89.1K
tracked
$94.6K

3 verified profitable wallets: +$86.6K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 69% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 0 tracked trades / 85 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 10748 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 10763 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-11 00:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for August 3 at 8:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 7d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 7d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe83a…83552 linked markets · $16 gross
0xe392…d8682 linked markets · $5 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Los Angeles Dodgers@ 55.0¢8d ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Los Angeles Dodgers@ 55.0¢8d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$276
6h+$89.1K
24h+$89.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h52.6¢▼ below by 52.5pp
VWAP 7d52.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$176
60¢
$893
55¢
$19.5K
50¢
$67.9K
45¢
$0
40¢
$976
35¢
$1.4K
30¢
$1.5K
25¢
$4
20¢
$583
15¢
$369
10¢
$876
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$489

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (YES)$19.0K@ 55.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—8 days ago
BUYLos Angeles Dodgers (YES)$66.9K@ 54.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—8 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

DjdjdjekekekLos Angeles Dodgers$85.9K
BUY VWAP 54.2¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.