LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner

● quote 47 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $809.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $682.2KEvent: LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets97Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 51%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:202 trades$35.0K trackedsource coverage 5%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 86 min agoofficial metadata 47 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $12.2K·4 wallets(1🐋)·$12.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYG2 Esports (NO)$10.3K@ 97¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$10.8K
tracked
$35.0K

4 verified profitable wallets: −$12.2K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 51% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 47 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 86 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 47 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-02 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between SK Gaming and G2 Esports in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 2 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "SK Gaming" if SK Gaming win Game 2 against G2 Esports. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win Game 2 against SK Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x9348…66642 linked markets · $1.7K gross
0xc69b…20763 linked markets · $1.5K gross
0x0e91…ea342 linked markets · $1.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $8 → $0 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$1
6h−$10.8K
24h−$10.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h10.3¢▼ below by 10.2pp
VWAP 7d10.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$4
45¢
$20
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$1.1K
25¢
$4.8K
20¢
$3.3K
15¢
$2.2K
10¢
$1.6K
5¢
$5.8K
0¢
← now
$16.3K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYG2 Esports (NO)$10.3K@ 97.4¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
13.5¢$231.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)
100.0¢$92.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
0.1¢$741.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$697.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner
52.5¢$673.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs
56.5¢$536.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros
12.5¢$384.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres
45.5¢$361.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

5e46hG2 Esports$10.3K
BUY VWAP 97.4¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.