Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

● quote 730 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: about 12 hoursLiquidity: $120.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.3MEvent: Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - More Markets
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly7Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 44%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:74 trades$57.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 5%BUY/SELL known 86%
tape 758 min agoofficial metadata 728 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLBetBoom Team (YES)$23.0K@ 100¢·0x66b1…6b9d

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$112
6h
−$17.3K
tracked
$57.1K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$8.0K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 44% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 730 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 758 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 728 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-01 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between BetBoom Team and LGD Gaming in the 1win Essence Group A, initially scheduled for August 1 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BetBoom Team" if BetBoom Team win Game 1 against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 1 against BetBoom Team. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xed10…15ed2 linked markets · $603 gross
0x3a01…c89e2 linked markets · $462 gross
0xcba4…756d2 linked markets · $2 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $277 → $8 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$112
6h−$17.3K
24h−$17.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h89.7¢▲ above by 10.2pp
VWAP 7d89.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$39.4K
90¢
$15
85¢
$9
80¢
$2.5K
75¢
$0
70¢
$12.0K
65¢
$1.0K
60¢
$161
55¢
$124
50¢
$603
45¢
$0
40¢
$213
35¢
$1.0K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLBetBoom Team (YES)$23.0K@ 99.9¢0x66b1…6b9d🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYBetBoom Team (YES)$11.9K@ 73.3¢0x3954…22d9🐋—about 15 hours ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3954…22d9BetBoom Team$11.9K
BUY VWAP 73.3¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.