Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

● quote 27 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $127.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $547.1KEvent: Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - More Markets
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection31Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 49%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:57 trades$39.5K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 7%BUY/SELL known 94%
tape 78 min agoofficial metadata 31 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTeam Liquid (NO)$11.6K@ 100¢·0x4572…83ff

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$11.6K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$11.6K
6h
+$19.4K
tracked
$39.5K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$10.0K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 49% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 27 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 78 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 31 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-31 22:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between BetBoom Team and Team Liquid in the 1win Essence Group A, initially scheduled for July 31 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "BetBoom Team" if BetBoom Team win Game 2 against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 2 against BetBoom Team. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3471…f17e2 linked markets · $1.7K gross
0x84ad…bfb72 linked markets · $525 gross
0xa3d8…c9312 linked markets · $26 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $13$30 · 2s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$11.6K
6h+$19.4K
24h+$19.4K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h22.1¢▼ below by 22.0pp
VWAP 7d22.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$10.0K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$257
30¢
$1.8K
25¢
$4.8K
20¢
$103
15¢
$1.6K
10¢
$464
5¢
$652
0¢
← now
$17.5K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLTeam Liquid (NO)$11.6K@ 99.9¢0x4572…83ff🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYBetBoom Team (YES)$10.0K@ 59.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋about 3 hours ago

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563BetBoom Team$10.0K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.