Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Cruz Hewitt

● quote 21 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $169.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $550.3KEvent: Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Cruz Hewitt
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 13%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:42 trades$10.1K trackedsource coverage 2%BUY/SELL known 25%
tape 91 min agoofficial metadata 21 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$1.2K·2 wallets·$1.2K gross

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$2.2K
tracked
$10.1K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$1.2K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 13% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Tracked source coverage is only 2%.
  • •BUY/SELL is known for 25% of tracked volume.
  • •Executable quote is 21 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-02 15:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Zachary Svajda and Cruz Hewitt in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 26, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zachary Svajda' if Zachary Svajda advances against Cruz Hewitt. This market will resolve to 'Cruz Hewitt' if Cruz Hewitt advances against Zachary Svajda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES DOWN 10.1pp · near-book depth $1.7K → $353 · 6s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h+$2.2K
24h+$2.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h46.6¢▼ below by 46.6pp
VWAP 7d46.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$103
90¢
$10
85¢
$11
80¢
$0
75¢
$4
70¢
$127
65¢
$53
60¢
$1
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$2.1K
35¢
$104
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$1

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity