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Estoril Open: Andrey Rublev vs Luca Van Assche

UncategorizedSettlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $434.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: Estoril Open: Andrey Rublev vs Luca Van Assche
81.5¢
Andrey Rublev payout
18.5¢
Luca Van Assche payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-07-31 12:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Andrey Rublev and Luca Van Assche in the Estoril Open, originally scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Luca Van Assche. This market will resolve to 'Luca Van Assche' if Luca Van Assche advances against Andrey Rublev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 32d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 32d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASESELL Luca Van Assche33d ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPSELL Luca Van Assche@ 24.0¢33d ago
15m CONFIRMED +13.0pp1h INVALIDATED -13.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Andrey Rublev; negative values favor Luca Van Assche. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLuca Van Assche · $556
6hAndrey Rublev · $1.6K
24hAndrey Rublev · $1.6K

Andrey Rublev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Andrey Rublev price. Luca Van Assche fills are converted to the complementary Andrey Rublev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current81.5¢
VWAP 24h50.5¢▲ above by 31.0pp
VWAP 7d50.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity