Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals

● quote 5 min ago
SportsCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $216.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $215.0KEvent: Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
53.5¢
YES
46.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly51Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%
24h sample:55 trades$23.6K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 11%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 12 min agoofficial metadata 7 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago Cubs (YES)$13.5K@ 50¢·0x7542…7a20

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$96
6h
+$23.1K
tracked
$23.6K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 78% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Observed tape is 12 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-05 23:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for July 29 at 7:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES UP 3.5pp · near-book depth $36.6K$48 · 59s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$96
6h+$23.1K
24h+$23.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current53.5¢
VWAP 24h50.0¢▲ above by 3.5pp
VWAP 7d50.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$23.3K
45¢
$251
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYChicago Cubs (YES)$13.5K@ 50.0¢0x7542…7a20🐋about 4 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds
91.5¢$670.1Kpriority69Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$274.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
2.4¢$268.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
78.5¢$266.2Kpriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox
91.5¢$248.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?
2.9¢$160.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?
0.3¢$153.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?
8.5¢$150.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x7542…7a20Chicago Cubs$13.5K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.