Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants

● quote 2 min ago
SportsCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $229.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.6MEvent: Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets87Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 80%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:147 trades$357.4K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 23%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $142.6K·4 wallets(2🐋)·$163.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSan Francisco Giants (NO)$94.4K@ 50¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$19.4K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$19.4K
6h
−$169.1K
tracked
$357.4K

4 verified profitable wallets: −$142.6K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 80% · priority 0

Since latest position change: +0.1pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-05 19:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for July 29 at 3:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $161.7K gross
0x2d67…36672 linked markets · $98 gross
0x4732…f40d3 linked markets · $81 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGEBUY San Francisco Giants@ 99.9¢13m ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGEBUY San Francisco Giants@ 66.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h CONFIRMED +33.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY San Francisco Giants2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY San Francisco Giants2h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: YES DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $14.6K$8 · 8s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$19.4K
6h$169.1K
24h$218.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h46.3¢▼ below by 46.2pp
VWAP 7d46.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$304.0K
45¢
$292
40¢
$466
35¢
$27.0K
30¢
$274
25¢
$1.3K
20¢
$5
15¢
$709
10¢
$0
5¢
$1
0¢
← now
$21.9K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYSan Francisco Giants (NO)$20.2K@ 99.8¢0x2ada…2f28🐋13 minutes ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants (NO)$18.3K@ 63.0¢0x8c40…80df🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$10.0K@ 50.0¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋about 3 hours ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$25.6K@ 50.0¢0xd8f8…e7e3🐋about 3 hours ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants (NO)$36.1K@ 50.0¢
Eztennis0x4be1…aa70
🐋about 3 hours ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants (NO)$94.4K@ 50.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋about 3 hours ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$31.0K@ 50.0¢0x1b20…3ab0🐋about 4 hours ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants (NO)$12.9K@ 49.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋about 5 hours ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants (NO)$44.1K@ 49.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋about 6 hours ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants (NO)$10.0K@ 48.0¢0xf668…5c69🐋about 6 hours ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants (NO)$39.7K@ 47.5¢0xf668…5c69🐋about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafSan Francisco Giants$151.5K
BUY VWAP 49.6¢·3 fills
0xf668…5c69San Francisco Giants$49.7K
BUY VWAP 47.6¢·2 fills
EztennisSan Francisco Giants$36.1K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill
0x1b20…3ab0Milwaukee Brewers$31.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill
0xd8f8…e7e3Milwaukee Brewers$25.6K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill
0x2ada…2f28San Francisco Giants$20.2K
BUY VWAP 99.8¢·1 fill
0x8c40…80dfSan Francisco Giants$18.3K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·1 fill
FeromontMilwaukee Brewers$10.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.