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Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky

● quote 9831 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $353.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $391.3KEvent: Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection18Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets81Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 53%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$14·4 wallets·$3.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLos Angeles Sparks (YES)$13.3K@ 40¢·esportGG

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$7.1K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$7.1K
6h
+$25.0K
tracked
$38.4K

4 verified profitable wallets: +$14 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 53% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 0 tracked trades / 82 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 9831 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 9862 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-06 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 5 at 9:00PM ET: If the Los Angeles Sparks win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles Sparks". If the Chicago Sky win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Sky". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 6d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
curie2 linked markets · $1.7K gross
swisstony2 linked markets · $1.1K gross
0xd8fa…581f2 linked markets · $537 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$7.1K
6h+$25.0K
24h+$25.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h28.6¢▼ below by 28.5pp
VWAP 7d28.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$82
40¢
$4.6K
35¢
$19.4K
30¢
$2.6K
25¢
$0
20¢
$814
15¢
$0
10¢
$2.1K
5¢
$56
0¢
← now
$8.8K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYLos Angeles Sparks (YES)$13.3K@ 39.8¢
esportGG0xf070…ac55
🐋—7 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

esportGGLos Angeles Sparks$13.3K
BUY VWAP 39.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.