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Zug: Norbert Gombos vs Dominic Stephan Stricker

● quote 35 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $82.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $177.9KEvent: Zug: Norbert Gombos vs Dominic Stephan Stricker
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection52Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution27Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%
24h sample:2 trades$44.3K tracked100% 🐋source coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 66 min agoofficial metadata 37 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDominic Stephan Stricker (NO)$23.1K@ 100¢·anon.1980.123

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$23.1K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$23.1K
6h
+$1.8K
tracked
$44.3K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 35 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 66 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$23.1K
6h+$1.8K
24h+$1.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h3.9¢▼ below by 3.8pp
VWAP 7d3.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$21.3K
0¢
← now
$23.1K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLDominic Stephan Stricker (NO)$23.1K@ 99.9¢
anon.1980.1230x4699…e03c
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDominic Stephan Stricker (NO)$21.3K@ 92.0¢
anon.1980.1230x4699…e03c
🐋—about 1 hour ago