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Livesport Prague Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Sara Bejlek

● quote 347 min ago
Sports→Closes: 5 daysLiquidity: $300.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $277.4KEvent: Livesport Prague Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Sara Bejlek
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 65%💡 1 smartVerified directional wallets: positive measured PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:20 trades$21.2K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 8%BUY/SELL known 95%
tape 353 min agoofficial metadata 347 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMaria Timofeeva (YES)$10.0K@ 22¢·0x5f65…2036

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$558
6h
+$19.5K
tracked
$21.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: $0 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 65% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 347 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 353 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 347 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus independent-wallet confirmation.

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$558
6h+$19.5K
24h+$19.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h21.8¢▼ below by 21.7pp
VWAP 7d21.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$19.6K
15¢
$0
10¢
$5
5¢
$9
0¢
← now
$562

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYMaria Timofeeva (YES)$10.0K@ 22.4¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Verified directional wallets · 7d
neutralwave23NO$0 signed