Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox

● quote 2 min ago

Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $122.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $394.3KEvent: Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox

1.1¢

YES

99.0¢

1.5¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution96Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:76 trades$131.7K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 20 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago White Sox (NO)$86.7K@ 51¢·mooseborzoi

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

YES pressure: +$13.7K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

+$13.7K

−$102.2K

tracked

$131.7K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$12.3K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

1.5¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Observed tape is 20 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

active

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-02 18:10 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for July 26 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Latest book event: NO UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $100.3K → $8.8K · 29s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h+$13.7K

6h−$102.2K

24h−$102.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current1.1¢

VWAP 24h44.3¢▼ below by 43.2pp

VWAP 7d44.3¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢

55¢