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Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $157.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $208.9KEvent: Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers
79.5¢
YES
20.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection26Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 69%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:69 trades$30.7K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 15%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $16.6K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$16.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDetroit Tigers (NO)$16.6K@ 64¢·Feromont

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW NO SETUP
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$8.1K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$8.1K
6h
−$25.2K
tracked
$30.7K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$16.6K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 69% · priority 65

Since latest large flow: -2.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-02 17:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for July 26 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Detroit Tigers1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Detroit Tigers@ 23.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +51.0pp1h CONFIRMED +61.0pp
Latest book event: YES UP 7.5pp · near-book depth $437 → $63 · 31s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$8.1K
6h−$25.2K
24h−$25.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current79.5¢
VWAP 24h29.3¢▲ above by 50.2pp
VWAP 7d29.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$248
75¢
← now
$10
70¢
$21
65¢
$100
60¢
$8
55¢
$20
50¢
$214
45¢
$3
40¢
$0
35¢
$16.6K
30¢
$0
25¢
$1
20¢
$333
15¢
$13.0K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYDetroit Tigers (NO)$10.4K@ 81.0¢0x5268…135d🐋—27 minutes ago
BUYDetroit Tigers (NO)$16.6K@ 64.0¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FeromontDetroit Tigers$16.6K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill
0x5268…135dDetroit Tigers$10.4K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.