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Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants

● quote 1426 min ago
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $384.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $353.0KEvent: Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants
0.2¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly6Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 54%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSan Francisco Giants (NO)$14.9K@ 59¢·0x5291…d4b6

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$93
6h
−$15.3K
tracked
$54.9K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$5 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 54% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 0 tracked trades / 33 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote is 1426 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 1481 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-01 20:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for July 25 at 4:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angeles Angels win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 13h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 13h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
swisstony2 linked markets · $243 gross
0x56cc…d5892 linked markets · $44 gross
0x83d9…10d92 linked markets · $7 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY San Francisco Giants1d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY San Francisco Giants@ 61.0¢1d ago
15m CONFIRMED +34.0pp1h CONFIRMED +38.4pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$93
6h−$15.3K
24h−$15.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.2¢
VWAP 24h31.8¢▼ below by 31.6pp
VWAP 7d31.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$26.2K
35¢
$19
30¢
$7.7K
25¢
$0
20¢
$19.4K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$243
0¢
← now
$1.2K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLSan Francisco Giants (NO)$14.6K@ 79.0¢0xfc08…a137🐋—1 day ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants (NO)$14.9K@ 59.0¢0x5291…d4b6🐋—1 day ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants (NO)$11.3K@ 59.0¢0x5291…d4b6🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5291…d4b6San Francisco Giants$26.1K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.