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Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner

● quote 234 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $94.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $270.2KEvent: Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
75.5¢
YES
24.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution92Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority31Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 46%
24h sample:105 trades$33.0K trackedsource coverage 12%BUY/SELL known 56%
tape 241 min agoofficial metadata 239 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLiquid (YES)$2.6K@ 51¢·0xb6ce…7a7d

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$1.2K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.2K
6h
−$1.2K
tracked
$33.0K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 46% · priority 31

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •BUY/SELL is known for 56% of tracked volume.
  • •Executable quote is 234 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 241 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 239 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-24 21:50 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 32 match between Liquid and Vitality in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 24 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win Map 1 against Vitality. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 1 against Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xb6ce…7a7d2 linked markets · $5.4K gross
0x82dc…57002 linked markets · $4.3K gross
0x2bef…b47c2 linked markets · $305 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $38 → $48 · 4s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$1.2K
6h−$1.2K
24h−$1.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current75.5¢
VWAP 24h41.1¢▲ above by 34.4pp
VWAP 7d41.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$1.0K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$105
75¢
← now
$26
70¢
$1.2K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$262
50¢
$8.6K
45¢
$876
40¢
$794
35¢
$577
30¢
$2.2K
25¢
$5.0K
20¢
$126
15¢
$0
10¢
$65
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
33.5¢$818.4Kpriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)
64.5¢$456.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.