LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

● quote 416 min ago
SportsCloses: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $723.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.0MEvent: LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 50%
24h sample:183 trades$57.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 6%BUY/SELL known 97%
tape 501 min agoofficial metadata 414 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJD Gaming (NO)$14.6K@ 64¢·esportGG

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$24.0K
tracked
$57.9K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 50% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 416 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 501 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 414 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-24 15:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Team WE and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 24 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win Game 2 against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 2 against Team WE. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x141a…d05a2 linked markets · $11.2K gross
0x1e8c…64522 linked markets · $7.1K gross
0xe907…cff63 linked markets · $5.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY NO@ 95.0¢10h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $597$15.3K · 5s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h$24.0K
24h$24.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h28.0¢▼ below by 27.9pp
VWAP 7d28.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$2.8K
45¢
$5.9K
40¢
$0
35¢
$25.6K
30¢
$362
25¢
$3.3K
20¢
$2.5K
15¢
$0
10¢
$1.9K
5¢
$2.5K
0¢
← now
$11.2K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYJD Gaming (NO)$14.6K@ 64.0¢
esportGG0xf070…ac55
🐋about 10 hours ago
BUYJD Gaming (NO)$10.7K@ 62.0¢
esportGG0xf070…ac55
🐋about 11 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

esportGGJD Gaming$25.3K
BUY VWAP 63.1¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.