LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

● quote 566 min ago
SportsCloses: about 7 hoursLiquidity: $636.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $629.2KEvent: LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 50%
24h sample:111 trades$35.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 6%BUY/SELL known 98%
tape 671 min agoofficial metadata 525 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAnyones Legend (YES)$12.5K@ 99¢·0x986b…bdc6

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$19.4K
tracked
$35.9K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 50% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 566 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 671 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 525 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-07-24 13:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Anyone's Legend and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 24 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win the match against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against Anyone's Legend. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 9h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 9h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
esportGG2 linked markets · $27.1K gross
0x3ebd…b66a2 linked markets · $17.3K gross
0xf148…0b4f2 linked markets · $5.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPSELL YES@ 83.0¢13h ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $24$10.1K · 15s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h+$19.4K
24h+$19.4K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h90.8¢▲ above by 9.1pp
VWAP 7d90.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$19.4K
90¢
$428
85¢
$2.6K
80¢
$48
75¢
$12.3K
70¢
$326
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYAnyones Legend (YES)$12.5K@ 98.9¢0x986b…bdc6🐋about 12 hours ago
BUYAnyones Legend (YES)$10.0K@ 79.0¢
retroactivesource0x85d5…45ee
🐋about 14 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x986b…bdc6Anyones Legend$12.5K
BUY VWAP 98.9¢·1 fill
retroactivesourceAnyones Legend$10.0K
BUY VWAP 79.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.