PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?

● quote 197 min ago
Crypto→Closes: 4 daysLiquidity: $32.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $89.2KEvent: What price will Bitcoin hit in July?
32.8¢
YES
67.2¢
NO
0.4¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection27Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution81Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 66%
24h sample:31 trades$2.3K trackedsource coverage 3%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 222 min agoofficial metadata 200 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$2.5K@ 60¢·0x06dc…4524

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$612
6h
−$180
tracked
$2.3K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.4¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 66% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 197 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 222 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 200 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-01 04:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market
Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x2858…119d2 linked markets · $6.2K gross
0x6916…2fd48 linked markets · $5.7K gross
0x06dc…45243 linked markets · $4.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO DOWN 4.1pp · near-book depth $1.3K → $2.7K · 30s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$612
6h−$180
24h−$11

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current32.8¢
VWAP 24h35.0¢▼ below by 2.2pp
VWAP 7d50.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$556
60¢
$3.5K
55¢
$639
50¢
$577
45¢
$506
40¢
$1.5K
35¢
$559
30¢
← now
$136
25¢
$81
20¢
$79
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
27.5¢$183.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
4.0¢$112.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?
0.1¢$99.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
0.1¢$92.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
6.5¢$89.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
0.8¢$89.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?
0.1¢$85.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
0.3¢$80.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.