LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

● quote 14 min ago
SportsCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $508.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $275.8KEvent: LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly1Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 48%
24h sample:81 trades$7.0K trackedsource coverage 3%BUY/SELL known 96%
tape 72 min agoofficial metadata 16 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTeam Liquid (YES)$3.2K@ 100¢·0x664e…e82a

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$2
6h
−$2.1K
tracked
$7.0K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 48% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 14 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 72 minutes old.
  • Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-27 02:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Team Liquid and Cloud9 in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 26 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Cloud9. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against Team Liquid. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
esportGG2 linked markets · $29.4K gross
0xc69b…20763 linked markets · $622 gross
0xe907…cff63 linked markets · $412 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES UP 3.5pp · near-book depth $8.6K$1.3K · 6s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$2
6h$2.1K
24h$2.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h81.5¢▲ above by 18.5pp
VWAP 7d81.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$3.4K
90¢
$9
85¢
$537
80¢
$21
75¢
$30
70¢
$65
65¢
$34
60¢
$1.4K
55¢
$486
50¢
$807
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$409.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies
14.5¢$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$536.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner
100.0¢$296.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
100.0¢$261.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?
0.1¢$259.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?
0.1¢$244.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?
0.1¢$238.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.