LoL: Dignitas vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner

● quote 1387 min ago
SportsCloses: about 22 hoursLiquidity: $795.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $433.4KEvent: LoL: Dignitas vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 47%
24h sample:81 trades$10.2K trackedsource coverage 14%BUY/SELL known 87%
tape 1578 min agoofficial metadata 261 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSentinels (NO)$13.0K@ 81¢·111111111115

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$50.9K
tracked
$10.2K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 47% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 1387 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 1578 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 261 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-07-26 03:50 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Dignitas and Sentinels in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 25 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Dignitas" if Dignitas win Game 1 against Sentinels. This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if Sentinels win Game 1 against Dignitas. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 4h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 4h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
johnbaster2 linked markets · $852 gross
0x10ef…7d7b3 linked markets · $723 gross
0xe361…ae442 linked markets · $687 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Sentinels1d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Sentinels1d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Sentinels@ 83.0¢1d ago
15m CONFIRMED +7.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY Sentinels@ 82.0¢1d ago
15m CONFIRMED +10.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $5.6K$142 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h$50.9K
24h$50.9K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h19.7¢▲ above by 80.2pp
VWAP 7d19.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$1.3K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$182
20¢
$12.1K
15¢
$31.1K
10¢
$4.9K
5¢
$2.9K
0¢
$0

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYSentinels (NO)$13.0K@ 81.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋1 day ago
BUYSentinels (NO)$13.0K@ 81.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋1 day ago
BUYSentinels (NO)$11.2K@ 80.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

111111111115Sentinels$44.7K
BUY VWAP 81.4¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.