Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?
● quote 25 min ago
0.7¢
YES
99.4¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection92Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution97Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 50%
24h sample:2 trades$18 trackedsource coverage 0%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 58 min agoofficial metadata 27 min ago
Decision read
Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
What the tape says
No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.
1h
−$17
6h
−$16
tracked
$18
No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.
Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 50% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
Risks / missing evidence
- •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
- •Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
- •Tracked source coverage is only 0%.
- •Executable quote is 25 minutes old.
Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus independent-wallet confirmation.
Price History
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…
Market Analytics
LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax
Signed Order Flow
Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.1h−$17
6h−$16
24h−$16
YES-equivalent VWAP
Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.Current0.7¢
VWAP 24h0.6¢▲ above by 0.0pp
VWAP 7d0.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.
Largest holders
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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d
95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$18VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity
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Verified directional wallets · 7d
No smart wallet activity