Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
● quote 34 min ago
27.7¢
YES
72.4¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution94Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 65%
24h sample:10 trades$1.2K trackedsource coverage 1%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 52 min agoofficial metadata 36 min ago
Decision read
Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
What the tape says
No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.
1h
+$61
6h
−$915
tracked
$1.2K
No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.
Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 65% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
Risks / missing evidence
- •Tracked source coverage is only 1%.
- •Executable quote is 34 minutes old.
- •Observed tape is 52 minutes old.
- •Official market metadata is 36 minutes old.
Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus independent-wallet confirmation.
Price History
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.1h+$61
6h−$915
24h−$915
YES-equivalent VWAP
Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.Current27.7¢
VWAP 24h27.1¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d27.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.
Largest holders
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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d
95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
← now
$1.2K20¢
$23
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0
VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity
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Verified directional wallets · 7d
No smart wallet activity