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Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?

Geopolitics→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $89.0K24h Vol: $879.8K
1.2¢
YES
98.8¢
NO
97.6¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)
🏆 Biggest bet:NO$32.6K@ 99¢·0x0026…aef7

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h+$0
6h+$0
24h+$0
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
$84.8K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
NO$10.4K@ 99.4¢
bobe20xed10…d2e5
🐋-114.3%2 days ago
NO$25.7K@ 99.6¢
bobe20xed10…d2e5
🐋-200.0%4 days ago
NO$32.6K@ 99.1¢0x0026…aef7🐋-30.4%13 days ago
NO$16.1K@ 98.8¢
bobe20xed10…d2e5
🐋+1.6%23 days ago

Related Markets · Geopolitics

US forces enter Iran by April 30?
100.0¢$268.9M0
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
0.1¢$44.4M0
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
0.6¢$38.8M17
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
8.0¢$32.9M3
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
99.9¢$28.7M0
💡 Smart Wallets · 7d
bobe2NO$36.1K