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Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026?

Geopolitics→Closes: 2 daysLiquidity: $213.5K24h Vol: $788.7K
0.2¢
YES
99.8¢
NO
99.9¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · Geopolitics

US forces enter Iran by April 30?
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Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
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US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
0.1¢$44.4M0
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
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💡 Smart Wallets · 7d
No smart wallet activity