Iran leadership change by April 30?

Geopolitics→Closes: 9 daysLiquidity: $95.0K24h Vol: $2.9M

12.5¢

YES

87.5¢

81.0¢

Spread

conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO

Loading orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

Loading…

Accumulation

Loading…

Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago

Loading trades…

🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now

No whale activity

Related Markets · Geopolitics

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

100.0¢$268.9M0

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?