Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

● quote 16s ago
PoliticsCloses: about 1 monthLiquidity: $410.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $70.6KEvent: Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
0.3¢
YES
99.8¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0direction0wallets0execution99priority0data 50%💡 1 smart
24h sample:18 trades$541 trackedsource coverage 1%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 94 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNO$5.6K@ 100¢·Bigggggggg

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$1
tracked
$541

1 verified profitable wallet: NO · $19.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 50% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Tracked source coverage is only 1%.
  • Observed tape is 94 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-30 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Mutually exclusive
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market
Outcome meaning

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Read full resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Bigggggggg7 linked markets · $113.9K gross
donthackme6 linked markets · $27.8K gross
alexhist2 linked markets · $19.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

Lifecycleclimax

Signed Order Flow

1hYES · $0
6hNO · $1
24hNO · $534

YES price VWAP

Current0.3¢
VWAP 24h0.2¢▲ above by 0.1pp
VWAP 7d0.2¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
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$0
70¢
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$0
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$0
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0¢
← now
$35.4K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BiggggggggNo$19.9K
BUY VWAP 99.8¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.