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Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Politics→Closes: about 1 monthLiquidity: $148.4K24h Vol: $10.7M
16.5¢
YES
83.5¢
NO
94.5¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 1 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h
24h sample:316 trades5% YES95% NO
💡 Smart money 7d:NO 100%·11 wallets·$4.6K
🏆 Biggest bet:NO$20.0K@ 87¢·0x69e7…d3b0

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Market Analytics

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h$259
6h$1.9K
24h$11.8K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.
Current16.5¢
VWAP 24h93.2¢▼ discount
VWAP 7d92.7¢
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
$326.7K
90¢
$16.4K
85¢
$20.0K
80¢
$0
75¢
$19.8K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
← now
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$16.3K

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
NO$16.4K@ 91.0¢
jocpolitic0xdc03…804c
🐋-8.2%17 days ago
NO$20.0K@ 87.0¢0x69e7…d3b0🐋-4.0%18 days ago
NO$19.8K@ 79.1¢0xa894…5324🐋+5.6%18 days ago

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💡 Smart Wallets · 7d
DkOYLNO$1.6K
ancienteNO$1.1K
KarajanNO$784
norrisfanNO$522
quick-turtleNO$241
wenhai1058NO$118
aldiJamesNO$103
CasdiferYES$10
tetroseYES$5
Novus0rdoSeclorumYES$3