Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Politics→Closes: 22 daysLiquidity: $89.5K24h Vol: $14.0M

16.5¢

YES

83.5¢

99.7¢

Spread

conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 2 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h

24h sample:45 trades2% 🐋0% YES100% NO

💡 Smart money 7d:NO 93%·4 wallets·$4.2K

🏆 Biggest bet:NO$41.2K@ 100¢·0xf2f6…5817

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO

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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.disputed

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.

1h$2

6h$2

24h$16.4K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.

Current16.5¢

VWAP 24h99.6¢▼ discount

VWAP 7d98.9¢

Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢

$829.1K

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢