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Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Sports→Closes: 1 dayLiquidity: $2.2M24h Vol: $13.2M
73.5¢
YES
26.5¢
NO
99.8¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 11 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h
24h sample:1301 trades1% 🐋96% YES4% NO
💡 Smart money 7d:YES 97%·11 wallets(3🐋)·$313.1K
🏆 Biggest bet:YES$155.3K@ 88¢·watcherz88

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h+$0
6h+$0
24h+$662.5K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.
Current73.5¢
VWAP 24h89.1¢▼ discount
VWAP 7d88.8¢
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
$255.4K
90¢
$0
85¢
$416.4K
80¢
$0
75¢
$15.2K
70¢
← now
$6.1K
65¢
$10.9K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$5.6K
25¢
$912
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$18.3K
5¢
$0
0¢
$1.4K

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
YES$12.7K@ 99.8¢0xe907…cff6🐋-26.3%about 22 hours ago
YES$61.3K@ 99.8¢0x6880…cf03🐋-26.3%about 23 hours ago
YES$11.1K@ 98.8¢0x418d…88a3🐋-25.6%about 23 hours ago
YES$30.0K@ 88.8¢0xa66c…cd67🐋-17.2%about 24 hours ago
YES$98.6K@ 88.4¢
purplegatto0x032e…2a9e
🐋-16.9%about 24 hours ago
YES$155.3K@ 87.7¢
watcherz880xc5a2…6dd9
🐋-16.2%about 24 hours ago
YES$30.0K@ 88.7¢0x5016…1eeb🐋-17.1%about 24 hours ago
YES$15.2K@ 76.0¢0xa3a3…c2f9🐋-3.3%4 days ago

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💡 Smart Wallets · 7d
watcherz88YES$155.3K
purplegattoYES$98.7K
0xe907…cff6YES$33.3K
ygggg1NO$10.0K
VasiliSkoYES$9.9K
blketYES$2.1K
neutralwave23YES$1.5K
0x000c…bcf3YES$1.4K
wr0ngw4yb3tt0rNO$502
sbimbgYES$468