Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Politics→Closes: about 1 monthLiquidity: $6.9M24h Vol: $15.1M

0.1¢

YES

99.9¢

Spread

conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 4 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h

24h sample:589 trades1% 🐋99% YES1% NO

💡 Smart money 7d:YES 100%·5 wallets(1🐋)·$145.3K

🏆 Biggest bet:YES$328.4K@ 100¢·FedWillWin

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO

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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.

1h+$110

6h+$3.8K

24h+$578.9K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.

Current0.1¢

VWAP 24h98.7¢▼ discount

VWAP 7d98.8¢

Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢

$726.6K

90¢

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