Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

SportsCloses: about 17 hoursLiquidity: $3.5M24h Vol: $36.1M
49.0¢
YES
51.0¢
NO
99.9¢
Spread
conv73Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale88Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge81Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom100Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 11 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h
24h sample:2530 trades1% 🐋62% YES38% NO
💡 Smart money 7d:YES 55%·12 wallets(4🐋)·$702.6K
🏆 Biggest bet:YES$800.0K@ 46¢·0xe22a…2703

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h+$0
6h+$0
24h+$520.8K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.
Current49.0¢
VWAP 24h51.0¢▼ discount
VWAP 7d51.1¢
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
$117.6K
90¢
$5.1K
85¢
$4.9K
80¢
$15.3K
75¢
$56.8K
70¢
$58.4K
65¢
$1.7K
60¢
$406
55¢
$88.7K
50¢
$574.6K
45¢
← now
$1.2M
40¢
$15.5K
35¢
$3.7K
30¢
$966
25¢
$2.7K
20¢
$31.2K
15¢
$110.2K
10¢
$912
5¢
$808
0¢
$1.4K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
NO$32.6K@ 99.9¢0xcf98…6e0a🐋-48.9%about 15 hours ago
NO$19.9K@ 99.9¢0x2db5…cc23🐋-48.9%about 15 hours ago
NO$13.3K@ 99.9¢0x2db5…cc23🐋-48.9%about 15 hours ago
YES$46.7K@ 46.0¢
neutralwave230x5b63…11a4
🐋+6.5%about 16 hours ago
YES$23.5K@ 45.0¢0x1f63…e539🐋+8.9%about 16 hours ago
NO$43.1K@ 52.7¢
jtwyslljy0x9cb9…32f2
🐋-3.3%about 16 hours ago
YES$107.7K@ 19.8¢
neutralwave230x5b63…11a4
🐋+147.0%about 16 hours ago
NO$14.6K@ 78.0¢0x73c5…2f80🐋-34.6%about 17 hours ago
YES$47.1K@ 73.6¢
neutralwave230x5b63…11a4
🐋-33.4%about 17 hours ago
NO$265.0K@ 53.0¢
BAREFLUX0xd650…14fb
🐋-3.8%about 17 hours ago
YES$800.0K@ 46.0¢0xe22a…2703🐋+6.5%about 18 hours ago
NO$25.5K@ 51.0¢0xc57f…c909🐋+0.0%about 18 hours ago
YES$10.8K@ 52.0¢0xa66c…cd67🐋-5.8%about 19 hours ago
NO$139.7K@ 47.0¢0x3af1…d739🐋+8.5%about 19 hours ago
NO$12.7K@ 47.0¢
swisstony0x204f…5e14
🐋+8.5%about 19 hours ago
NO$15.3K@ 46.0¢0x1b47…d814🐋+10.9%about 19 hours ago
YES$104.0K@ 52.0¢
ygggg10x9854…6bf2
🐋-5.8%1 day ago