Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

FinanceCloses: 6 monthsLiquidity: $1.3M24h Vol: $14.4M
93.8¢
YES
6.2¢
NO
99.9¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)
24h sample:71 trades1% 🐋100% YES0% NO
💡 Smart money 7d:YES 100%·13 wallets(1🐋)·$65.5K
🏆 Biggest bet:YES$296.4K@ 100¢·FedWillWin

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.climax

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h+$0
6h+$0
24h+$38.3K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.
Current93.8¢
VWAP 24h99.6¢▼ discount
VWAP 7d99.6¢
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
$2.1M
90¢
← now
$518.7K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$1
5¢
$27.4K
0¢
$13.1K

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
YES$11.8K@ 99.9¢0x6eb5…8588🐋-6.1%about 13 hours ago
YES$51.7K@ 99.9¢
tsekinming010x69aa…8847
🐋-6.1%1 day ago
YES$11.8K@ 99.9¢0x6eb5…8588🐋-6.1%2 days ago
YES$296.4K@ 99.8¢
FedWillWin0xfdc0…fa79
🐋-6.0%2 days ago
YES$22.2K@ 99.7¢
debased0x24c8…23e1
🐋-5.9%3 days ago
YES$49.8K@ 99.6¢
Valen90x162f…798d
🐋-5.8%8 days ago
YES$69.9K@ 99.6¢
Trump20280x2e0b…8070
🐋-5.8%9 days ago
YES$49.9K@ 99.8¢
weloi0x11a4…b1e2
🐋-6.0%10 days ago
YES$55.6K@ 99.7¢
weloi0x11a4…b1e2
🐋-5.9%10 days ago
YES$27.2K@ 99.6¢
THE-UMA-WHALE0x5bb0…814b
🐋-5.8%11 days ago
YES$10.2K@ 99.6¢
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e
🐋-5.8%11 days ago
YES$34.0K@ 99.6¢
Spas120x9c26…74bc
🐋-5.8%11 days ago
YES$27.7K@ 99.6¢
Official-Market-Maker0x94cf…3db3
🐋-5.8%11 days ago
YES$37.0K@ 99.6¢
Spas120x9c26…74bc
🐋-5.8%12 days ago
YES$11.4K@ 99.6¢
Trump20280x2e0b…8070
🐋-5.8%12 days ago
YES$11.0K@ 99.5¢
Trump20280x2e0b…8070
🐋-5.7%13 days ago
YES$127.9K@ 99.3¢
yameteV90x68fe…8792
🐋-5.5%13 days ago
YES$13.6K@ 99.0¢
thegreengem0xdcd6…84cd
🐋-5.3%14 days ago
YES$23.5K@ 98.7¢
Spas120x9c26…74bc
🐋-5.0%16 days ago
YES$14.7K@ 98.4¢
Karajan0x8e9e…38e4
🐋-4.7%16 days ago
YES$11.3K@ 98.5¢
Karajan0x8e9e…38e4
🐋-4.8%16 days ago
YES$19.2K@ 98.5¢0x93fb…3e4a🐋-4.8%16 days ago
YES$24.7K@ 98.8¢0x93fb…3e4a🐋-5.1%16 days ago
YES$11.1K@ 98.4¢
dumbfuq-p0Iycantchangepfp0x0a54…4a03
🐋-4.7%18 days ago
YES$20.9K@ 98.1¢
YatSen0x5bff…ffbe
🐋-4.4%19 days ago
YES$16.7K@ 98.4¢0x2785…70ae🐋-4.6%20 days ago
YES$13.5K@ 97.1¢0x20d9…5490🐋-3.4%20 days ago
YES$23.6K@ 93.5¢
Yeueu0x0344…2538
🐋+0.3%24 days ago
YES$15.3K@ 94.0¢
Yeueu0x0344…2538
🐋-0.2%25 days ago
YES$20.7K@ 94.0¢
Valen90x162f…798d
🐋-0.3%25 days ago
YES$18.8K@ 94.0¢
Valen90x162f…798d
🐋-0.2%25 days ago
YES$17.3K@ 94.1¢
Valen90x162f…798d
🐋-0.3%25 days ago